The impact of political violence on tourism in Nepal

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520 |a This study uses the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) framework to investigate the relationship between tourism and political violence in Nepal in the presence of a structural break. Using monthly time series data from January 1991 to December 2012, we find results that suggest the existence of negative short run and long run relationships between the two variables. The results of a dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) model estimation suggests that our results are robust to differences in model specification. A Toda-Yamomoto Granger Causality analysis suggests that political violence Granger-causes tourism in Nepal. The stability of the long run estimates is tested using CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests.
500 |aThe author has given permission for this work to be deposited in the Digital Archive of Colorado College.
500 |aColorado College Honor Code upheld.
500 |aSenior Thesis -- Colorado College
500 |aBachelor of Arts
500 |abachelor
500 |aIncludes bibliographical references.
655 7|athesis|2marcgt
540 |aCopyright restrictions apply.
300 |a31 pages : illustrations
100 1 |aMoktan, Sidharth|ecreator
700 1 |ade Araujo, Pedro|ethesis advisor
700 1 |a|ethesis advisor
710 2 |aDepartment of Economics and Business|esponsor
710 2 |aColorado College|edegree grantor
650 1 |aARDL
650 1 |aTime series
650 1 |aTourism
650 1 |aNepal
650 1 |aCUSUM
650 1 |aCausality
650 1 |aPolitical Violence
650 1 |aCointegration
650 1 |aMaoist
650 1 |aTerrorism
245 10|aThe impact of political violence on tourism in Nepal
046 |k2015-05
260 |bColorado College|c2015-05|g2015-05
856 |uhttp://hdl.handle.net/10176/coccc:11135