This study uses 2019 Hong Kong District Council post-election data to challenge existing demographic narratives on the electoral split and to explore alternative factors in identifying population segments that are more prone to anti-democratic ideologies. This ideological tendency is operationalized as voting for the pro-Chinese Community Party (CCP) camp. With the use of bivariate analyses and logistic regression models, this study finds that Hongkonger identity, societal pessimism, and political agency serve as more precise and effective predictors of Hongkongers’ voting preference than demographic variables which are commonly cited by political elites. In general, individuals that identify as Chinese rather than Hongkonger, are less pessimistic about the city’s future, and have lower political agency are more likely to vote for the pro-CCP camp.